Tag: Indicators
Enterprise Cycle Indicators as of November’s Begin
Employment for October and month-to-month GDP for September, within the set of variables adopted by the NBER’s BCDC:
Determine 1: Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) employment from CES...
Enterprise Cycle Indicators – GDP and Personal NFP
GDP below Bloomberg consensus of three.0% at 2.8% (GDPNow nails it). ADP personal NFP change at 233K vs. Bloomberg consensus at 110K.
Determine 1: Nonfarm...
Mid-October Studying on Enterprise Cycle Indicators – NBER BCDC and Options
Industrial and manufacturing manufacturing beneath consensus (-0.3% m/m vs -0.1%, -0.4% vs -0.1%, respectively), whereas retail gross sales and core retail gross sales above...
Nowcasts, Weekly Indicators, and Additions to the “Recession Camp”
Nowcasts for NY and St. Louis Feds out at the moment; St. Louis up from 1.14% to 1.73% q/q AR. NY Fed, and GS...
Enterprise Cycle Indicators for the Euro Space, as of 10/4/2024
The CEPR-EABCN is one arbiter of enterprise cycle chronologies within the Euro Space. The most recent announcement is from April 17, 2024. What do...
State of the Macro Financial system, 10/6/2024: 19 Indicators and 4 Nowcasts
NBER BCDC indicators, different indicators, weekly indicators, nowcasts. As one who famous the excessive chance of recession by August 2024, I can’t see a...
