Shopper Sentiment and Expectations (Rev’d) in September

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Upward revisions for each indices from College of Michigan Survey of Customers:

Determine 1: College of Michigan Shopper Sentiment for Democrats (blue, left scale), for Independents (grey, left scale), for Republicans (purple, left scale),  Shapiro, Sudhof and Wilson (2020) Every day Information Sentiment Index (inexperienced, proper scale). The Information Index remark for September is thru 9/22/2024. Supply: U.Mich, SF Fed.

Even Republicans/lean Republicans are trying extra upbeat concerning the future in September:

Determine 2: College of Michigan Shopper Expectations for Democrats (blue), for Independents (grey), for Republicans (purple). Supply: U.Mich, SF Fed.

Nevertheless, by far the largest change is for Democratic/lean Democratic since July (up 12.3 factors).

On a associated level, belief in dealing with the financial system is nearly tied:

Supply: Axios.

The above ballot outcomes are a couple of month in the past. The most recent AP-NORC ballot from September 13-16 signifies 46-43 Trump/Harris for this query, margin of error 3.4 ppts (therefore, a statistical tie).

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