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    Maury Obstfeld: “Trump’s plans for the Fed and the dollar are a one-way ticket back to the inflationary chaos of the 1970s.”

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    Maury Obstfeld at PS says it higher than I ever did (together with the most effective graphic *ever*):

    Trump’s advisers are reportedly contemplating two complementary coverage modifications. One proposal reportedly includes rising direct presidential management over the Fed’s interest-rate selections and rulemaking. Concurrently, Trump’s commerce staff, led by former US Commerce Consultant Robert Lighthizer, apparently needs to weaken the greenback’s change fee.

    Whereas some Trump advisers have denied any plans to devalue the greenback, Trump’s desire for decrease rates of interest and a weaker foreign money was evident throughout his first time period. The proposed insurance policies would make it simpler for him to override the Fed’s independence and obtain each targets. The end result could be a potent inflationary cocktail.

    Trump’s want for a weaker greenback is pushed by his perception, shared by Lighthizer, that the greenback is “too strong.”

    My extra irreverent tackle this topic right here, and right here.

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