Elon Musk and The Grace Fee Report

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Elon Musk—of Tesla, SpaceX, and X fame—can be tasked by incoming President-elect Donald Trump to overview federal authorities effectivity with the intent to chop federal spending, reform current applications, potential shutdown of federal businesses, and many others. Elon ought to be inspired to review a herculean report completed within the first time period of President Ronald Reagan referred to as The President’s Personal Sector Survey on Value Management, additionally referred to as the President’s Personal Sector Survey (PPSS).

The trouble was chaired by Mr. J. Peter Grace who was the chairman and chief govt officer of the diversified chemical firm, W. R. Grace. The PPSS report, often known as The Grace Fee report, was delivered to President Reagan in January 1984. Studying its abstract forty years later confirmed how prescient it was. It predicted that if nothing was completed to reform many sides of federal operation, spending and waste would result in a lot increased federal debt. The PPSS recognized and prompt treatments would save $424 billion in three years (1984-1987) to $1.9 trillion per 12 months by 2000.

The report’s projection of complete federal debt in 1990, with no reforms utilized, could be $3.2 trillion, skyrocketing to $13.0 trillion in 2000. Complete debt projections in 1990—implementing prompt report reforms—could be $2.0 trillion, rising to $2.5 trillion in 2000. Annual curiosity on the debt, with no reforms, could be $252 billion in 1990, ballooning to $1.52 trillion in 2000. Annual curiosity on the debt—making use of the reforms—could be $89.2 billion in 1990, lowering to $75.1 billion in 2000.

A graph from web page three of the PPSS last report submittal letter entitled Federal Revenues, Outlays and Deficits exhibits estimated projected future federal deficits if no prompt reforms had been utilized:

A graph from 1980 to 2024 exhibiting complete accrued federal debt in comparison with US Treasury ten-year securities market yield, sourced from the St. Louis Federal Reserve web site, exhibits complete federal debt of $13 trillion was reached round 2010.

A graph from The Peter G. Peterson Basis exhibits curiosity paid on the federal debt for federal fiscal years (FY) 2020-2024. Federal debt curiosity funds for FY 2024 had been close to $900 billion.

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The PPSS report predictions of accrued federal debt, deficits and debt curiosity funds with no reforms utilized occurred after 2000.

Web page three of the PPSS submittal letter states, “Equally important, the 2,478 cost-cutting, revenue-enhancing recommendations we have made can be achieved without raising taxes,…” That is key info for Elon’s crew from what the PPSS confirmed forty years in the past.

Web page 4 of the PPSS report states, “One-third of all their taxes is consumed by waste and inefficiency in the Federal Government as we identified in our survey…. With two-thirds of everyone’s personal income taxes wasted or not collected,…” (underlining in unique). Once we take a look at federal authorities waste in 2024, this report from 1984 is nearly prophetic.

Elon’s crew ought to be inspired to learn the January 1984 Grace Fee Report as a important instructing second. Previous experiences on federal authorities waste had been completed and only a few of their prompt treatments had been utilized. Is the desire to implement federal spending cuts current? Previous historical past says no and the federal fiscal actuality strongly says sure.

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