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    Calculated Threat: YoY Measures of Inflation: Providers, Items and Shelter

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    by Calculated Threat on 6/12/2024 08:50:00 AM

    Listed here are a couple of measures of inflation:

    The primary graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had talked about when companies much less hire of shelter was up round 8% year-over-year.  This declined, however has turned up just lately, and is now up 5.0% YoY.

    Click on on graph for bigger picture.

    This graph exhibits the YoY worth change for Providers and Providers much less hire of shelter by Might 2024.

    Providers had been up 5.2% YoY as of Might 2024, unchanged from 5.2% YoY in April.

    Providers much less hire of shelter was up 5.0% YoY in Might, up from 4.9% YoY in April.

    Goods CPIThe second graph exhibits that items costs began to extend year-over-year (YoY) in 2020 and accelerated in 2021 because of each robust demand and provide chain disruptions.

    Durables had been at -3.7% YoY as of Might 2024, down from -3.2% YoY in April.

    Commodities much less meals and vitality commodities had been at -1.7% YoY in Might, down from -1.2% YoY in April.

    ShelterHere’s a graph of the year-over-year change in shelter from the CPI report (by Might) and housing from the PCE report (by April)


    Shelter was up 5.4% year-over-year in Might
    , down from 5.5% in April. Housing (PCE) was up 5.6% YoY in April, down barely from 5.8% in March.

    That is nonetheless catching up with non-public information.  The BLS famous this morning: “the index for shelter rose in May, up 0.4 percent for the fourth consecutive month.

    Core CPI ex-shelter was up 1.9% YoY in Might, down from 2.1% in April.

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