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    12 months in Evaluate, 2024: Lying and Financial Incompetence, Equal Components

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    I believed I used to be getting a little bit jaded, however the likes of Heritage Basis’s EJ Antoni, the WisGOP, and Steve Kopits reaffirmed my religion in how a lot work stays.

    January:

    WIsconsin GOP argues Wisconsin was in recession, utilizing a 2 quarter rule (which is not relevant with revised information):

    WisGOP Can’t Depend

    For the gazilionth time, there’s a purpose we don’t declare recessions on the premise of GDP.

    Determine 1: Wisconsin GDP, newest classic (blue), and as of January 2024 (tan), each in bn.Ch.2017$ SAAR. Search: BEA.

     

    February:

    Zerohedge makes use of a very particular definition of ex ante actual rates of interest.

    ZeroHedge Goes Adaptive Expectations

    March:

    Suppose earlier than reporting startling numbers!

    Math Is Laborious!

    April:

    The reality in black and white:

    Greatest Proposed Modification *Ever*

    Could:

    I can’t perceive how some individuals can have a look at a graph, and “can’t see” the plain.

    “You have to look pretty hard to find the “trade war” effect in the data”

    Bonus: Greatest graphic

    Maury Obstfeld: “Trump’s plans for the Fed and the dollar are a one-way ticket back to the inflationary chaos of the 1970s.”

     

    June:

    Grocery worth assessments from any person who’s most likely by no means gone grocery buying.

    “Food costs doubled, tripled, quadrupled…”

    July:

    What the heck is “QCES”? And, take note of the footnotes – is the collection seasonally adjusted or not.

    https://econbrowser.com/archives/2024/07/maciver-institute-the-real-wisconsin-economy

     

    August:

    Nativism goes to economics as practiced by Heritage:

    The Nice Alternative “Theory” * Involves Economics at Heritage

    September:

    My first encounter with Oren Cass’s writing on commerce…

    “It’s almost as if you have no economics training at all…”

    October:

    Prepared for the Journal of Irreproducible Outcomes.

    Recession since 2022? A Magic Asterisk-Thriller Meat-Particular Sauce Strategy to Nationwide Earnings Accounting

    Sequel:

    Revised Paper: No, We Haven’t Been in a Recession since 2022

    November:

    I’m satisfied!

    Central Financial institution of Russia Telegram Account: “Everything will be fine.”

     

    December:

    One other installment in X-FIles – stats version:

    DiMartino Sales space: “We know many government statisticians are very left leaning in nature…”

     

    Wanting ahead to 2025, and Heritage, ZeroHedge, and extra examples of unhealthy evaluation to make use of as case research in my stats class.

     

     

     

     

     

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